Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Some Songs We Can't Afford to Play

As you will remember, I mentioned yesterday that the Rangers extended the contract of General Manager Jon Daniels through 2009. In honor of that incredibly dubious decision, I had a running conversation yesterday with Mr. Andrew Tuegel, whom you will recognize as the resident U2/Coldplay expert here at Running Down a Dream as well as a fellow Liverpool supporter.

Here's what transpired:

Andrew:
The Rangers just extended Jon Daniels' contract. I'm speechless.

Me:
That's like the American people saying, "Hey, you know this Bush guy really needs a few more years to sort this whole scene out. Let's amend the Constitution and give him a 3rd term."

Perhaps Hicks is too focused on signing Torres, Malouda, etc. and simply signed a contract renewal for Daniels without even looking at it. If Hicks did this knowingly and intentionally, well, let's just say I'm nervous about the future of LFC and the boys in Arlington.

Andrew :
This is worse than the Doc Rivers extension. In his short tenure, he has managed to take the Rangers from the middle of the table to the WORST team in major league baseball. On what planet is Tom Hicks living? Attendance is down, he's not making as much money, and we suck. There's no hope in sight. We're about to sell off our entire team. I mean there's just no way to justify this.

Me:
Also, this would have been a perfect example of the Sports Guy's argument that every team should have an Assistant VP of Common Sense to counteract the foolish decisions that often get made in the boardrooms of sports franchises.

"So you're telling me that you've only had one winning season in the last 8 years, the current guy has made tons and tons of bad moves, and you're the team with the worst record in baseball. Wait, you want to resign that guy? Are you kidding me?"

Me:
Since we seem to be getting in a rhythm with today's conversation, let me ask you a question: Have you ever visited http://www.sonsofthesportsguy.com/?

If not, go there to catch a glimpse of a community of embittered, angry people who only visit the message board to rip each Simmons column to shreds. I'm pretty sure that devoting a message board to ripping apart someone's sports columns might be one of the more pathetic uses of one's time, but I guess people are entitled to their opinions.

Andrew:
No, I've never visited the site. I've heard though, and I'm pretty sure Simmons has made fun of them a time or two. I think Hicks should hire you or I as GM of the Rangers. I thought about sending an application in with the tag line, "i couldn't do any worse." Also, this sucks for Ron Washington. He'll get canned at the end of the season and we won't even know if he's a good manager because he's been trying to coach a team with little league pitchers all year. He got his one shot at managing and now he'll be a bench coach for the rest of his life.

Me:
Interesting thought on Washington, but I have to disagree. It seems if Hicks is in a generous enough mood to give Daniels an extension that he'll give Ron at least another season. I guess I've just been so disappointed this year because all I heard in training camp was this immense optimism and how much the players loved Ron Washington. That is never to be confused with a substitute for quality pitching but sometimes chemistry can go a long, long way.

The problem with the 2007 Texas Rangers is that no one, besides you, me, Jacob Wardell, Lance Agan, Heath Huston, and Mason Orr gives a damn about the Rangers anymore. Sad to say, but there's a whole group of kids growing up who don't even know what it's like to even be in contention. Sorry, that was my Rangers rant for the day.

I am constantly hearing about all of the pitching talent (Eric Hurley among others) that we have in the farm system, and I hope and pray everyday that we don't sell off all of that talent simply to place a bandaid on the tremendous pitching problems that we currently have.

Andrew:
That's been our problem. We build these good prospects and then trade 2 or 3 off them for a crappy starter or another old outfielder or something like that. I would rather have the Marlins system of sell everyone off for prospects and then every 5-7 years you win a series.

I've heard rumblings that the players are starting to turn on Washington. That's not surprising because I'd be grumbling too if we were losing every game. I've also heard trade rumors for Tex, Gagne, Otska, Millwood, Lofton, and some of our bullpen guys. Tex is playing like his foot is out the door and it is smart to trade him. I'm just pissed because I know we will mess the trade up. We'll part with him for a 40 year old left fielder and the option on two single A pitchers and Daniels will call it a victory.

It is sad that I would consider it a success to make the playoffs and get swept in the first round of the playoffs by the Yankees like we did in our glory days. Also, i think Nolan Ryan punching out Robin Ventura was the high water mark of the Texas Rangers franchise.

Andrew:
Also, you know you've made a bonehead move when even ESPN's frontpage headline announcing the extension makes you sound dumb.

Me:
That's the equivalent of Paris Hilton telling you to re-examine your decision making skills.

Andrew:
Maybe we can convince Bush to buy the team again. His war record (and all around decision making record) may not be that strong, but he certainly didn't run them into the ground.

Me:
I was just reading the comments on the espn.com story that you mentioned, and everyone, I mean everyone, could not believe that Hicks gave Daniels an extension. It seems that if broken, pessimistic Rangers fans cannot accept your job performance, maybe you should move on out of town. Texas Rangers baseball: It's fannnnnnnnnnnnnntastic!!!

Andrew:
I realize we have a long way to go before we hit Cubs or Red Sox tortured fan base status, but we're headed there quick. It's like Hornby says in Fever Pitch, "you don't choose the teams you like. They're chosen for you. And you like them no matter what, even when they make stupid moves and buy players that you know can't play. But you still support them anyways." In this case it's a GM, but oh well. Do you think a law degree qualifies you to work in a baseball front office? These MBA's are trying it and screwing it up, so I want a shot at it.

Me:
Well, Theo Epstein has a law degree, and I would say that while he has not been flawless on the job, he's done pretty darn well. I talked to the Career Services Office at the law school about a possible internship with the Rangers and they said they had never heard of anyone doing that, but perhaps you and I could be the trailblazers.

Andrew:
Also, in response to Daniels' contract extension, the Rangers promptly lose to another underachieving team, the Chicago Cubs.

Labels:

2 Comments:

At 9:37 PM, Blogger Jeremy Masten said...

You know--I finally decided to get over my strike-of-'94 bitterness this year and try to follow the Rangers. I'm quickly becoming an Astros fan. At least they know how to keep career players. Did you notice that Pudge is tops for all-star catcher this year?

 
At 1:46 AM, Blogger Jonathan said...

I'll offer some defense of everyone's favorite Rangers whipping boy (now that John Hart is out of the immediate picture -- though still in some mystery "advisory" role). I don't think Jon Daniels has made tons and tons of bad moves.

He's made one truly horrible move (Chris Young and Adrian Gonzalez for Adam Eaton and Akinori Otsuka). Many questioned this move from the beginning and it's indefensible at this point (although, I believe S.D. was holding out for Gerald Laird to be a part of this deal, so at least it wasn't as bad as it could have been).

He's made one move that was unfortunate in retrospect (Francisco Cordero, Kevin Mench and Laynce Nix for Carlos Lee and Nelson Cruz). Lee is gone but they got two very high draft picks as a result. Cruz hasn't panned out yet, but the jury is still out on him. Mench and Nix likely are nothing more than a 3rd and backup oufielder, respectively. In the end, that'll probably cancel out with Cruz. And The Ballpark had simply got into Cordero's mind. I'm not sure he was every going to be a completely effective pitcher again when he pitched half his games there. He proved this further by being the most effective closer in the game this season and then promptly blowing two straight saves in his return to the Ballpark.

One move is highly suspect (trading Alfonso Soriano for Brad Wilkerson). Statistically, this deal was more than highly suspect -- it was downright disastrous. But at the time, the smart move was to try to deal Soriano. John Hart had declined to move him during the previous trading deadline when his value was at its highest. I don't know what deals were potentially on the table for Soriano. Maybe the Wilkerson deal was the best; maybe it wasn't. We simply don't know. But, there was also no reason to believe Wilkerson would be so terrible here, especially moving from the cavern that is RFK Stadium to the Rangers Ballpark. In hindsight, I would have rather let Soriano leave in free agency and take the draft picks, but I simply don't know enough to label this a bad deal.

The John Danks/Nick Masset for Brandon McCarthy was beginning to look pretty good in May when McCarthy finally seemed to put things together and Danks really began to struggle as he begin to face teams began to have scouting information on him. The jury's still out, but I am beginning to like what I see here. At the very worst, it's a wash.

Most all these deals were made with a win-now philosophy. Considering the Rangers teams weren't really "win-now" teams the past couple years, this kind of philosophy was doomed from the start. Daniels won't be dealing with that philosophy now. It's universally understood that they're in a rebuilding mode. The best example I see of a Daniels' deal that was made with the future in mind was the David Dellucci for Robinson Tejeda deal. And that's certainly worked out to be a good deal, getting what's probably a young, middle-of-the-rotation (back-end, at worst) pitcher for an aging, platoon outfielder. Sure, we all miss The Godfather theme music when Dellucci comes to bat, but this move was about the future, and it was solid.

As for Daniels' moves that I would qualify as good:

There's the Michael Young extension. Granted, they're paying a lot of money to their shortstop who likely won't play for a winning team until the middle of the extension, at best. But they need a face of the organization to carry them through this rebuilding. I can't think of a better role model for the young guys the Rangers will be grooming than Young.

Signing Kevin Millwood to a $60 million, five year deal. Even in rebuilding mode, the Rangers need solid pitching at the front of the rotation. No on can explain why he's struggled so much this season, but it's likely he'll turn it around. He's by no means an ace. But this team doesn't really need to be paying "ace" money in rebuilding mode. Considering Barry Zito is getting paid $126 million and Gil Meche is getting paid $55 million, I'll take Millwood at $60 million. He'll be able to teach the young guys a few things, and, once he gets out of this funk, will go back to being a 15+ win pitcher for another couple years.

Trading Ricardo Rodriguez to the Phillies for Vicente Padilla. Rodriguez is struggling in the minors of another organization already. Certainly before this season, that deal was considered a gem. Now, signing Padilla to a $34 million, 3 year deal is a different story. But, they were needing to fill out there rotation (no young guys were ready to step in), and considering the money other teams were throwing around for mediocre pitching, this doesn't look so bad since Padilla had shown success pitching in Texas.

Plus, Daniels also signed Sammy Sosa and Eric Gagne, who likely will be turned into potentially valuable pieces for their minor league system now that they're rebuilding for the future.

So, no, Daniels' record isn't pristine by any means. But I'm not ready to throw him under the bus just yet. Giving him an extension was more about the appearance of stability entering this rebuilding. How can you expect the team's rebuilding the go well if the guys doing the rebuilding are always changing? Anyway, Tom Hicks has shown a willingness to eat money in salaries if he feels a move needs to be made (see the firing of Buck Showalter). If Daniels really can't handle this rebuilding process after a year or two, I have no doubt Hicks would still make a move, regardless of the contract.

Let's see what Daniels can do before the trading deadline this season with the future in mind. If he screws is up. Hicks can cut his losses. It's not like Daniels makes all that much compared to other GMs. But if he begins to right this ship, then the Rangers have one of the lowest-paid GMs in the league locked up for a extra year.

And that, my friends, is a Rangers rant.

 

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